Abstract. Developing situations with the corona virus in 2020 showed that it won not only people, but also entire industries. The transport industry of the Republic of Kazakhstan did not stop with an exception, and one of the most affected ones stopped air transportation, which led to a significant deterioration in the operational performance of airlines and airports. Predicting as accurate passenger traffic as possible to get out of a difficult moment for both the Kazakhstan Airport is an aspect that is of great importance for both the airport management and the airlines. The article discusses the basic methods and models implemented in the forecasting of passenger air transportation. The main influencing factors, advantages and disadvantages of each method are identified.

Keywords: passenger air transportation, forecast, parametric models, nonparametric models, heuristic forecasting.